A Siena College Poll released last week found that three first-term Democratic State Senators trail their Republican challengers in races that are expected to help determine which party controls the Senate in 2015-16.
(Read the poll crosstabs here.) This is a rematch of the 2010 race, where Tkaczyk defeated Amedore by just 18 votes.
All three Democrats won in 2012, aided by high voter turnout in the presidential election in a state with twice as many Democrats than Republicans. While Democrats won the Senate majority at the ballot box in 2012, a group of dissent Democrats joined with Republicans to keep the Democratic conference in the Senate’s minority.